Saturday, 25 June 2011

Summer Oscar Predictions

I’m from a legitimate Oscar predictor, and most of you probably know where to find the truly dedicated ones. But, 2011 is almost halfway done and there’s a deceptively little being said about potential Oscar nods. I’m probably wrong about these, but I’m never really invested in Oscar predictions for being right. I’d just like to put it out there that I don’t think that War Horse and The Iron Lady are going to be as big of hit as many are anticipating, but as I said. It’s all speculative here, I tend to have more fun making up random lists than in seeing them proven right. So here goes with random predictions for the top 6.
                
BEST PICTURE
MY GUESS: The Ides of March, A Dangerous Method, The Descendants, J. Edgar, Midnight in Paris, Money Ball, Tree of Life, We Bought A Zoo
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Carnage, Hugo Cabret, On the Road, War Horse
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Contagion, Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, My Week with Marilyn, We Need to Talk About Kevin
         
BEST DIRECTOR
MY GUESS: George Clooney for The Ides of March, David Cronenberg for A Dangerous Method, Clint Eastwood for J. Edgar, Terrence Mallick for Tree of Life, Alexander Payne for The Descendants
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris, Cameron Crowe for We Bought A Zoo, David Fincher for Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Roman Polanski for Carnage, Steven Spielberg for War Horse
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Bennett Miller for Money Ball, Oren Moverman for Rampart, Walter Salles for On the Road, Martin Scorsese for Hugo Cabret
      
BEST ACTRESS
MY GUESS: Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs, Kirsten Dunst in Melancholia, Tilda Swinton in We Need to Talk About Kevin, Rachel Weisz in The Whistleblower, Michelle Williams in My Week with Marilyn,
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady, Charlize Theron in Young Adult, Robin Wright in The Conspirator
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Jodie Foster in Carnage, Felicity Jones in Like Crazy, Keira Knightley in A Dangerous Method, Rooney Mara in Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
            
BEST ACTOR
MY GUESS: George Clooney in The Descendats, Leonardo DiCaprio in J. Edgar, Jean DuJardin in The Artist, Ryan Gosling in The Ides of March, Brad Pitt in Money Ball
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Matt Damon in We Bought A Zoo, Michael Fassbender in A Dangerous Method, Ralph Fiennes in Coriolanus, Sam Riley in On the Road
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Woody Harrelson in Rampart, Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, John C. Reilly in Carnage, Owen Wilson in Midnight in Paris
               
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
MY GUESS: George Clooney in The Ides of March, Philip Seymour Hoffman in Money Ball, Viggo Mortensen in A Dangerous Method, Brad Pitt in Tree of Life, Christoph Waltz in Carnage
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Kenneth Branagh in My Week with Marilyn, Thomas Haden Church in We Bought A Zoo, Ben Foster in Rampart, Armie Hammer in J. Edgar, Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Ides of March
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Jim Broadbent in The Iron Lady, Paul Giamati in The Ides of March, Josh Lucas in J. Edgar, John C. Reilly in We Need to Talk About Kevin
            
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
MY GUESS: Judi Dench in J. Edgar, Scarlett Johansson in We Bought A Zoo, Vanessa Redgrave in Coriolanus, Naomi Watts in J. Edgar, Evan Rachel Wood in The Ides of March
THEN AGAIN, PERHAPS: Jessica Chastain in Tree of Life, Judi Dench in My Week with Marilyn, Janet McTeer in Albert Nobbs, Kate Winslet in Carnage
MORE POSSIBILITIES: Marion Cotillard in Midnight in Paris, Charlotte Rampling in Melancholia Sigourney Weaver in Rampart
            
I realise I have Clooney being nominated for three categories already, but I never said I trying to make sense. And, I think we all know sometimes Oscars don’t make sense. Is it too early for Oscar discussion? Possibly. But, what hunches do you have?

2 comments:

Walter L. Hollmann said...

Well, now that Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close is confirmed for 2011....

But hmm... I think this may be Leo's year with J. Edgar. Weisz probably won't get an Oscar nom for The Whistleblower, but maybe a SAG one. The Artist probably has a better chance in Director than Actor. I'm not getting any kind of WOW vibes from Moneyball.

But Redgrave for Supporting Actress? Oh, yeah. That would be awesome. Isn't she the older woman you'd hook up with if you had a chance?

So many of these have yet to even show a trailer, so it's tough to gauge these things. But we reckless youths do like to throw caution to the wind, don't we?

Fitz said...

Allen or Polanski will get a nod this winter, but not both in my mind.

I'm keeping my fingers crossed for an Oscar nod for Fassbender and the cathartic victory Mortensen has been owed for years.